The Role of Agricultural Exports in the Agricultural Economic Growth in Egypt

Document Type : Original Article

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Department of Economics and Agribusiness Management - Faculty of Agriculture - Alexandria University.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the long-run relationship between real agricultural exports and agricultural economic growth in Egypt using cointegration analysis. Previous studies suggested that these two variables are cointegrated which is considered as evidence of  along-run equilibrium relationship. we employed cointegration analysis and annual data for the period 1990-2013 to study the relationship between real agricultural exports and its agricultural production. We found weak evidence of cointegration between real agricultural exports and agricultural economic growth. Results showed that there is a unidirectional causality between output and real agricultural exports. Output causes agricultural exports but not agricultural exports cause its output. On the other hand, Results showed that there is a unidirectional causality between output and Terms of Trade agricultural. Output causes Terms of Trade agricultural but not Terms of Trade agricultural cause its output.

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