An Analytical Economic Study to Rationalize The Egyptian Imports from Dry Beans and Lentil

The research aims to rationalize Egyptian  dry beans and lentil imports through of the following goals: (1) The study of the geographical distribution of Egyptian International imports of the most important food commodities during the period (1996 -2010), (2) Analysis of the record for the most important economic determinants influencing the Egyptian imports of dry beans and lentile during the period (1996-2010), (3) identify expected alternatives to the extent of reliance on Egyptian imports of dry beans and lentil in 2017, the study relied on published secondary data and informations from the Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation (MALR), the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (APMS), food and agriculture organization of the united nation (FAO), and some websites on the internet. As regards the methodology, the study applied both descriptive and statistical analysis methods particularly simple linear regression equations and multiple regression equations in both the linear and double-log forms, using step-wise regression analysis and bootstrap method, And the study had found that France and Turkey is one of the largest exporters of dry bean and lentile, respectively, and the measurement of the most important factors determining the quantity of imports Egyptian International dry beans shows that the quantity of imports Egyptian International of dry beans and the global production of dry beans, the Egyptian import price, domestic production of dry beans, And the measurement of the most important factors determining the amount of Egyptian imports of lentile are GDP and average per capita domestic consumption of lentile and Egyptian import price, By studying expectation alternatives for decreasing the dependence of Egypt imports of dry beans from abroad in 2017 show that the decline in the amount of domestic production and increasing population and rising per capita consumption of dry beans to t 6.7 kg / year with the stability of other factors, the year 2017 is the best alternative where it is expected to drop to rely on Egyptian imports of dry beans to about 9.60% in 2017, While studying the proposed alternatives to the expectations of the extent of adoption of Arab Republic of Egypt on imports of lentile from abroad in 2017 found that increasing the amount of local production of up to about 7065 tons and the increase in population and rising per capita consumption of lentile to about 1.43 kg / year with the stability of other factors in 2017 is the best alternative in terms of the expected decrease dependence on imports of Egyptian lentile to about 94.19% in 2017.